Aperçu

Résumé (français)

Veuillez noter que les résumés n'apparaissent que dans la langue de la publication et peuvent ne pas avoir de traduction.

Résumé (anglais)

This report examines employment and industry changes in New Brunswick (NB) over a 20-year period (1996 to 2016) using data from the Canadian Census. It also examines changes over a ten-year period (2009 to 2019) using data from the Labour Force Survey. Results are stratified by CMA/CA1 and by industry using the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). KEY FINDINGS This report examines employment and industry changes in New Brunswick (NB)over a 20-year period (1996 to 2016) using data from the Canadian Census. It also examines changes over a ten-year period (2009 to 2019) using data from the Labour Force Survey. Results are stratified by CMA/CA and by industry using the North American Industry Classification System. We observed the following results: Population While the New Brunswick population in 2016 was higher than it wasin1996, CMA Saint John and CA Campbellton (NB) were the only cities among other CMAs/CAs to have a lower population in 2016 than in 1996. CA Campbellton (NB) had the largest CA population decline nationwide. Miramichi had the highest dependency ratio in 2016 (36%) while Edmundston had the highest dependency ratio increase of all CMAs/CAs between 2011 and 2016. Moncton, Saint John, and Fredericton are home to 50% of the total population of NB and 51% of the working population (aged 15-64). In 2019, these cities had the highest labour force participation rates in NB–higher than both national and provincial rates. The number of New Brunswickers aged 15-64 declined by 5.1% (3p.p.2) between 2011 and 2016, representing the largest decline in the working-age population between consecutive census years since 1996. In 2016, this group represented 66% of the total population, down 3p.p. from the previous census year. The share of the population aged 55 and over has increased by 16.7% since 1999. Labour Force Unemployment in the province has declined by 0.8p.p. since 2009, compared to a national decline of 2.6 p.p. In 2019, CA Miramichi had the highest unemployment rate in the province (12.4%), while CA Fredericton had the lowest (5.5%). While the population of CA Fredericton has grown (11.8% increase between 2011 and 2016), its participation rate declined by 7.3 p.p. between 2009 and 2010.All employment growth in the last decade has come from within service-based industries, which accounted for 79.1% of employment in NB in 2019, up from 77.9% in 2009 and 75.5% in 1999. The goods-producing sector, on the other hand, has experienced declines across all its industries in the last decade. This sector accounted for 20.9% of employment in NB in 2019, down from 22.1% in 2009 and 24.5% in 1999. The three industries with the largest share of the working population in NB remain Health Care and Social Assistance; Wholesale and Retail Trade; and Business, Sciences, Finance, and Real Estate. They accounted for 21.5%, 19.8 %, and 18.5%, respectively, of the services-producing sector in 2019.Despite its employment declines, Manufacturing still has the largest share of the working population among other goods-producing industries in the province. In 2019, it had a total employment share of 41% in the goods-producing sector–1.2 p.p. more than in 2009 and 8p.p. less than in 1999. The Information, Culture, and Recreation industry had the largest increase in workers over the last decade (2009-2019) at 16.4%, and Wholesale and Retail Trade experienced the largest decline at -6.1%. Across all 1996-2016 Census cycles, cities, towns, and other communities outside NB CMAs/CAs are home to the majority of workers in the goods-producing sector.